Foto 1 di 8
Foto 1 di 8
The Black Swan by Nassim Nicholas Taleb (2007, HC/DJ) SIGNED - FREE SHIPPING
US $224,99
CircaEUR 201,91
o Proposta d'acquisto
Prezzo iniziale: US $249,99 (10% di sconto)
Condizione:
Come Nuovo
Libro che sembra nuovo anche se è già stato letto. La copertina non presenta segni di usura visibili ed è inclusa la sovraccoperta(se applicabile) per le copertine rigide. Nessuna pagina mancante o danneggiata, piegata o strappata, nessuna sottolineatura/evidenziazione di testo né scritte ai margini. Potrebbe presentare minimi segni identificativi sulla copertina interna. Mostra piccolissimi segni di usura. Per maggiori dettagli e la descrizione di eventuali imperfezioni, consulta l'inserzione del venditore.
Spedizione:
Gratis USPS Media MailTM.
Oggetto che si trova a: Vero Beach, Florida, Stati Uniti
Consegna:
Consegna prevista tra il mer 25 set e il ven 27 set a 43230
Restituzioni:
Restituzioni entro 30 giorni. Le spese di spedizione del reso sono a carico dell'acquirente.
Pagamenti:
Fai shopping in tutta sicurezza
Il venditore si assume la piena responsabilità della messa in vendita dell'oggetto.
Numero oggetto eBay:134878079120
Specifiche dell'oggetto
- Condizione
- ISBN
- 9781400063512
- Book Title
- Black Swan: Second Edition : The Impact of the Highly Improbable: with a New Section: on Robustness and Fragility
- Book Series
- Incerto Ser.
- Publisher
- Random House Publishing Group
- Item Length
- 9.6 in
- Edition
- 2
- Publication Year
- 2007
- Format
- Hardcover
- Language
- English
- Illustrator
- Yes
- Item Height
- 1.5 in
- Genre
- Computers, Social Science, Business & Economics
- Topic
- Information Theory, Decision-Making & Problem Solving, Future Studies, Statistics, Corporate Finance / General
- Item Weight
- 25 oz
- Item Width
- 6.4 in
- Number of Pages
- 480 Pages
Informazioni su questo prodotto
Product Identifiers
Publisher
Random House Publishing Group
ISBN-10
1400063515
ISBN-13
9781400063512
eBay Product ID (ePID)
56992376
Product Key Features
Edition
2
Book Title
Black Swan: Second Edition : The Impact of the Highly Improbable: with a New Section: on Robustness and Fragility
Number of Pages
480 Pages
Language
English
Topic
Information Theory, Decision-Making & Problem Solving, Future Studies, Statistics, Corporate Finance / General
Publication Year
2007
Illustrator
Yes
Genre
Computers, Social Science, Business & Economics
Book Series
Incerto Ser.
Format
Hardcover
Dimensions
Item Height
1.5 in
Item Weight
25 oz
Item Length
9.6 in
Item Width
6.4 in
Additional Product Features
Intended Audience
Trade
LCCN
2006-051093
TitleLeading
The
Reviews
Praise for Nassim Nicholas Taleb "The most prophetic voice of all." --GQ Praise for The Black Swan "[A book] that altered modern thinking." -- The Times (London) "A masterpiece." --Chris Anderson, editor in chief of Wired, author of The Long Tail "Idiosyncratically brilliant." --Niall Ferguson, Los Angeles Times " The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works." --Daniel Kahneman, Nobel laureate "[Taleb writes] in a style that owes as much to Stephen Colbert as it does to Michel de Montaigne. . . . We eagerly romp with him through the follies of confirmation bias [and] narrative fallacy." --The Wall Street Journal "Hugely enjoyable--compelling . . . easy to dip into." -- Financial Times "Engaging . . . The Black Swan has appealing cheek and admirable ambition." --The New York Times Book Review, " The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works."--Daniel Kahneman, Nobel laureate "Hugely enjoyable--compelling . . . easy to dip into."-- Financial Times "A masterpiece."--Chris Anderson, author of The Long Tail "Idiosyncratically brilliant."--Niall Ferguson, Los Angeles Times From the Trade Paperback edition., "The Black Swanchanged my view of how the world works."-Daniel Kahneman, Nobel laureate "Hugely enjoyable-compelling . . . easy to dip into."-Financial Times "A masterpiece."-Chris Anderson, author ofThe Long Tail "Idiosyncratically brilliant."-Niall Ferguson,Los Angeles Times From the Trade Paperback edition., " The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works."-Daniel Kahneman, Nobel laureate "Hugely enjoyable-compelling . . . easy to dip into."- Financial Times "A masterpiece."-Chris Anderson, author of The Long Tail "Idiosyncratically brilliant."-Niall Ferguson, Los Angeles Times From the Trade Paperback edition., " The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works."-Daniel Kahneman, Nobel laureate "Hugely enjoyable-compelling . . . easy to dip into."- Financial Times "A masterpiece."-Chris Anderson, author of The Long Tail "Idiosyncratically brilliant."-Niall Ferguson, Los Angeles Times From the Trade Paperback edition.
Series Volume Number
2
Synopsis
Taleb delivers a groundbreaking look at the role played by the unexpected in life and history, and a fascinating examination of why we know less than we think we do--and what to do about it., The Black Swan is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb's landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don't understand. The other books in the series are Fooled by Randomness, Antifragile, Skin in the Game, and The Bed of Procrustes . A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives. Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don't know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the "impossible." For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. In this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don't know, and this second edition features a new philosophical and empirical essay, "On Robustness and Fragility," which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world. Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan will change the way you look at the world. Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probability theory. The Black Swan is a landmark book--itself a black swan. Praise for Nassim Nicholas Taleb "The most prophetic voice of all." --GQ Praise for The Black Swan " A book] that altered modern thinking." -- The Times (London) "A masterpiece." --Chris Anderson, editor in chief of Wired, author of The Long Tail "Idiosyncratically brilliant." --Niall Ferguson, Los Angeles Times " The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works." --Daniel Kahneman, Nobel laureate " Taleb writes] in a style that owes as much to Stephen Colbert as it does to Michel de Montaigne. . . . We eagerly romp with him through the follies of confirmation bias and] narrative fallacy." --The Wall Street Journal "Hugely enjoyable--compelling . . . easy to dip into." -- Financial Times "Engaging . . . The Black Swan has appealing cheek and admirable ambition." --The New York Times Book Review, A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives. Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don't know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the "impossible." For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. Now, in this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don't know. He offers surprisingly simple tricks for dealing with black swans and benefiting from them. Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications "The Black Swan" will change the way you look at the world. Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probabilitytheory. "The Black Swan" is a landmark book-itself a black swan., The most influential book of the past seventy-five years: a groundbreaking exploration of everything we know about what we don't know, now with a new section called "On Robustness and Fragility." A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives. Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don't know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the "impossible." For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. In this revelatory book, Taleb will change the way you look at the world, and this second edition features a new philosophical and empirical essay, "On Robustness and Fragility," which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world. Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probability theory. Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan is a landmark book--itself a black swan.
LC Classification Number
Q375.T35 2007
Descrizione dell'oggetto fatta dal venditore
Registrato come venditore privato
Pertanto non si applicano i diritti dei consumatori derivanti dalla normativa europea. La Garanzia cliente eBay è comunque applicabile alla maggior parte degli acquisti. Scopri di piùScopri di più
Feedback del venditore (15.582)
- a***m (42)- Feedback lasciato dall'acquirente.Ultimi 6 mesiAcquisto verificatoPerfect seller experience! Item was shipped and delivered in less than 6 days and arrived in perfect, brand new/sealed as described. I was very impressed by how securely wrapped and protected the item was prepared... Shows the seller cares.
- n***b (5197)- Feedback lasciato dall'acquirente.Ultimi 6 mesiAcquisto verificatoGr8 service! Prompt order processing and mailing of item with secure protective packaging. The seller was professional and timely in responding to all my questions. Item exactly as described in the Auction Description. Recommend this ebay seller! A+
- 0***r (35)- Feedback lasciato dall'acquirente.Ultimi 6 mesiAcquisto verificatoCD arrived in condition described and plays great. The packaging was excellent. There was a small piece of bubble wrap placed inside the jewel case to protect the CD. The jewel case was then placed in a light plastic bag and inserted into a double-walled bubble wrap envelope. Thank You! AA+++Complete 1957-1959 Sessions by Smith, Jimmy / Burrell, Kenny (CD, 2016) (#134992430118)