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The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable by Nassim Nicholas Taleb (Paperback, 2008)

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GBP 13,60

CircaEUR 15,56

+ 4,15 di spese di spedizione

Consegna prevista mar 12 ago - mer 27 ago

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Restituzioni entro 30 giorni. Le spese di spedizione del reso sono a carico dell'acquirente..

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Publisher: Penguin Books ISBN 13: 9780141034591. Author: Nassim Taleb ISBN 10: 0141034599. Title: Black Swan Item Condition: New. Used-Very Good: The book will be clean without any major stains or markings, the spine will be in excellent shape with only minor creasing, no pages will be missing and the cover is likely to be very clean.

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The Black Swan is a concept that will change the way you look at the world. Black Swans underlie almost everything, from the rise of religions, to events in our own lives. A Black Swan is a highly improbable event with three principle characteristics- it's unpredictable; carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. Nassim Nicholas Taleb reveals that we are hard-wired not to truly estimate risk, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the 'impossible'. In this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don't know, and shows us how to face the world.